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(B)(N) EBAY eBay Incorporated

January 22, 2014
It's elementary, Watson.

Why, it’s elementary, prima donna.

Drama. Yet another investor wants to “maximize shareholder value” and thinks (as it were) that Tweets will help do it as showing our poker hand might help our bluff (Carl Icahn Verified account @Carl C Icahn Chairman of Icahn Enterprises L.P.; etc., etc. Some people get rich studying artificial intelligence. Me, I make money studying natural stupidity).

But we would think that celebrity investor Tweets might be construed (or confounded) as “investment advice” and not just prattle to many not so endowed. And it’s elementary that a spinning body spins faster if the arms are pulled in so we need to attend to our stop/loss position (Reuters, January 22, 2014, Icahn wants eBay to spin off Paypal; eBay balks).

EBAY has been in the Perpetual Bond™ since much lower prices of $35 to $40 two years ago and our estimate of the downside due to the demonstrated volatility is minus ($2.50) per share in the next quarter so that we would expect it to trade from the current $55 to between $52 and $58 absent further surprise.

Exhibit 1: (B)(N) EBAY eBay Incorporated – Risk Price Chart

(B)(N) EBAY eBay Incorporated

(B)(N) EBAY eBay Incorporated

EBay Incorporated is a commerce platform and payments provider. It enables commerce through three reportable segments: Marketplaces, Payments and GSI.

(Please Click on the Chart to make it larger if required.)

From the Company: eBay Incorporated provides online platforms, tools, and services to help individuals and merchants in online and mobile commerce and payments in the United States and internationally. Its Marketplaces segment operates ecommerce platform eBay.com; vertical shopping sites, such as StubHub, Fashion, Motors, and Half.com; and classifieds Websites, including Den Blå Avis, BilBasen, Gumtree, Kijiji, LoQUo, Marktplaats.nl, mobile.de, Alamaula, eBay Anuncios, eBay Kleinanzeigen, and eBay Annunci, as well as provides advertising services. This segment also provides RedLaser to facilitate mobile commerce; Milo to enable search for goods at local retailers; WHI to offer an ecatalog of motor parts and accessories; and Hunch to improve search and merchandising based on customers’ needs and tastes. The company’s Payments segment offers payment and settlement services for consumers and merchants on and off eBay Websites and other merchant Websites. This segment operates PayPal, which enables individuals and businesses to send and receive payments online and through mobile devices; Bill Me Later that enables the United States merchants to offer, the United States consumers to obtain, credit at the point of sale for ecommerce and mobile transactions; Zong, which allows users with mobile phones to purchase digital goods and have the transactions charged to their phone bill; and BillSAFE that enables customers pay for purchases upon receipt of an invoice. Its GSI segment offers an ecommerce services suite for enterprise clients that operate in general merchandise categories, including apparel, sporting goods, toys and baby, health and beauty, and home; and marketing services comprising digital agency, enterprise email marketing, mobile advertising, affiliate marketing, online advertisement retargeting, and in-depth analytics services. The company also operates an open platform for merchants and developers. eBay Inc. was founded in 1995, has 30,000 emplyees and is headquartered in San Jose, California

For more information on the chart elements and additional references to the theory, please see our Post, The RiskWerk Company Glossary.

And for more on what risk averse investing has done for us this year, please see our recent Posts on The S&P TSX “Hangdog” Market or The Wall Street Put or specialty markets such as The Dow Transports & Utilities or (B)(N) The Woods Are Burning, or for the real class actionLa Dolce Vita – Let’s Do Prada! and It’s For You, Dear on the smartphone business.

And for more stocks at high prices, The World’s Most Talked About Stocks or Earnings Don’t Matter – NASDAQ 100. And for more on what’s Working in AmericaBig OilShopping in America or Banking in America, to name just a few.

Postscript

We are The RiskWerk Company and care not a jot for mutual funds, hedge funds, “alternative investments”, the “risk/reward equation” and every other unprovable artifact of investment lore. We have just one product

The Perpetual Bond
Alpha-smart with 100% Capital Safety and 100% Liquidity
Guaranteed
With No Fees and No Loads on Capital

For more information on RiskWerk, please follow the Tags or Categories attached to this Letter or simply enter Search for additional references to any term that we have used. Related data may be obtained from us for free in a machine readable format by request to RiskWerk@gmail.com.

Disclaimer

Investing in the bond and stock markets has become a highly regulated and litigious industry but despite that, there remains only one effective rule and that is caveat emptor or “buyer beware”. Nothing that we say should be construed by any person as advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or avoid the common stock or bonds of any public company at any time for any purpose. That is the law and we fully support and respect that law and regulation in every jurisdiction without exception and without qualification to the best of our knowledge and ability. We can only tell you what we do and why we do it or have done it and we know nothing at all about the future or the future of stock prices of any company nor why they are what they are, now. The author retains all copyrights to his works in this blog and on this website. The Perpetual Bond®™ is a registered trademark and patented technology of The RiskWerk Company and RiskWerk Limited (“Company”) . The Canada Pension Bond®™ and The Medina Bond®™ are registered trademarks or trademarks of the Company as are the words and phrases “Alpha-smart”, “100% Capital Safety”, “100% Liquidity”, ”price of risk”, “risk price”, and the symbols “(B)”, “(N)” and N*.

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