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(B)(N) PWF Power Financial Corporation

March 13, 2013

Drama. Power Financial Corporation is an investment management company with controlling interests in the public companies IGM Financial Incorporated and Great-West Lifeco Incorporated and a major stake in the Swiss-based Pargesa Holding SA which has diverse investment interests including such fabled industrial companies as Total SA (oil and gas), Suez SA (energy, water and environmental waste services), Imersys SA (specialty minerals mining and processing) and the Lafarge Group (cement and building materials). At another level of management and ownership complexity, Power Financial Corporation is itself controlled by another public company, Power Corporation, which has a large and controlling private interest, and one would think that the quadrumvirate of money, motive, power and leverage would be an ideal investment management and ownership structure and opportunity that any investor would like to have. In size, the company is similar to Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated which has about $400 billion in total assets and a net worth of $165 billion (2:1 leverage) whereas the Power Financial Corporation asserts total assets of about $264 billion and a net worth of merely $14 billion or nearly 20:1 leverage.

The company is in the news today because it missed on analysts’ expectations of $0.58 per share on earnings and turned in only $0.52 per share in the last quarter (Reuters, March 13, 2013, Power Financial profit falls, misses expectation). The usual investor “alarm” or “misgivings”, we suppose, resulted in volumes of  nearly 2 million shares and a price drop of nearly $1 (3%) to $28.40 in contrast to the usual daily volumes of 200,000 to 500,000 shares, although quite a lot changed hands a month ago (in mid-February) at $29.50 or so. The company pays a quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share or nearly $1 billion per year to its shareholders for an attractive yield of 4.9% but not too much should be expected of its stock price (please see Exhibit 1 below) unless the companies that it owns or controls also do very well. We would also think that a drop in the dividend rate – real or anticipated – would tend to cause a sell-off in the non-controlling block and purchases at lower prices (if they have money) by the controlling block or blocks.

The company is presently trading at well above its Risk Price (SF) of $27 (please see Exhibit 1 below) and has an estimated downside volatility in the stock price of minus ($1.50). The July put at $28 costs $0.95 per share today and can be partially offset by a sold or short call at $30 for $0.30 per share so that for a net  cost of $28 to $29 (or less) for the stock and $0.65 ($0.95 less $0.30) for the collar, we can buy the stock, buy the collar, collect our dividends, and not worry about the stock price for the next four months. Of course, that’s not really much of a deal when one considers portfolios such as The Canada Pension Bond™ (our Post, February 2013) or The Risk Adjusted Dow (March 2013) or The Wall Street Put™ (March 2013) which have already done more (and it’s only mid-March) and can’t do less with our usual policies of risk aversion.

Exhibit 1: (B)(N) PWF Power Financial Corporation – Risk Price Chart

(B)(N) PWF Power Financial Corporation

Power Financial Corporation is a diversified management and holding company with interests in financial services in North America.

(Please Click on the Chart to make it larger if required.)

IGM Financial Incorporated provides personal financial services and operates as a manager and distributor of mutual funds and other managed asset products. The total assets are $12 billion and the net worth is $4.5 billion. Great-West Lifeco Incorporated is an international financial services holding company with interests in life insurance, health insurance, retirement and investment services, asset management and reinsurance businesses. It has total assets of $254 billion and a net worth of $15 billion.

Postscript

We are The RiskWerk Company and care not a jot for mutual funds, hedge funds, “alternative investments”, the “risk/reward equation” and every other unprovable artifact of investment lore. We have just one product

The Perpetual Bond™
“Alpha-smart with 100% Capital Safety and 100% Liquidity”
Guaranteed
With No Fees and No Loads on Capital

For more information on RiskWerk, please follow the Tags or Categories attached to this Letter or simply enter Search for additional references to any term that we have used. Related data may be obtained from us for free in a machine readable format by request to RiskWerk@gmail.com.

Disclaimer

Investing in the bond and stock markets has become a highly regulated and litigious industry but despite that, there remains only one effective rule and that is caveat emptor or “buyer beware”. Nothing that we say should be construed by any person as advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or avoid the common stock or bonds of any public company at any time for any purpose. That is the law and we fully support and respect that law and regulation in every jurisdiction without exception and without qualification to the best of our knowledge and ability. We can only tell you what we do and why we do it or have done it and we know nothing at all about the future or the future of stock prices of any company nor why they are what they are, now. The author retains all copyrights to his works in this blog and on this website. The Perpetual Bond®™ is a registered trademark and patented technology of The RiskWerk Company and RiskWerk Limited (“Company”) . The Canada Pension Bond®™ and The Medina Bond®™ are registered trademarks or trademarks of the Company as are the words and phrases “Alpha-smart”, “100% Capital Safety”, “100% Liquidity”, ”price of risk”, “risk price”, and the symbols “(B)”, “(N)” and N*.

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